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Building resilience in African countries: six emerging debates in the context of the Russia–Ukraine War

Emerging analysis

Written by Sherillyn Raga, Alberto Lemma, Phyllis Papadavid, Dirk Willem te Velde

Emerging analysis

In recent years, much attention has focused on the impact of global shocks and crises on African countries.

This briefing focuses on the impact of the Russia-Ukraine war (RUW) on African countries and its implications for economic recovery and long-term development. It utilises an analytical framework and evidence from selected African countries to understand the transmission channels of the RUW's impact at the country level.

The briefing incorporates findings from six studies conducted by the African Economic Research Consortium (AERC), the Economic Research Forum (ERF), and the Partnership for Economic Policy (PEP), supported by Canada's International Development Research Centre (IDRC). It highlights emerging debates on how crises like the RUW affect African economies and the importance of resilience-building in Africa

This briefing considers six emerging debates:

  • Methodology. What are the transmission channels of the impact of the Russia–Ukraine war at the country level?
  • Identification and magnitude of the shock. What do we know about the size of the Russia–Ukraine war shock?
  • Exposure. What do we know about Africa’s exposure to the Russia–Ukraine war?
  • Resilience. What do we know about Africa’s resilience to the Russia–Ukraine war?
  • Overall country-level impact. What do we actually know about the impact of the Russia–Ukraine war on African countries?
  • Policy. What are the policy issues (domestic and international) for resilience-building in Africa?